
Consumer Sentiment Falls to 48.1 in September as Year-Ahead Inflation Expectations Climb to 4.6%
The University of Michigan’s final September consumer sentiment index fell to 48.1, down 7% from August and nearly 13% from a year earlier. It is the second-lowest reading since the survey began in 1952. Year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 4.6% from 4.0%, the highest level since June. Key Takeaways The final September reading of 48.1 came in above the preliminary estimate of 47.8 and the consensus forecast of 47.6, but below August’s 51.7 and September 2025’s 55.1. Only May 2026’s record low has been weaker in the survey’s 74-year history. Year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 4.6% from 4.0%, compared with 3.4% in February. Five-year inflation expectations rose to 3.4% after three straight months at 3.3%, above the 2.8% to 3.2% range seen throughout 2024. The Index of Consumer Expectations fell 10.1% to 46.3 from 51.5 in August. Buying conditions for durable goods improved modestly as some consumers moved purchases forward to get ahead of expected price increases. September Sentiment Undoes August’s Rebound August briefly looked like a turning point. Consumer sentiment rose 7% that month to 51.7, its first meaningful gain in months. September erased all of it. The final reading of 48.1 is the lowest in four months and













































