
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Slips to 98.7 in August as Sales Weaken and Inflation Pressure Persists
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 1.1 points to 98.7 in August 2026, missing the consensus forecast of 99.3 and reversing most of July’s 2.4-point gain that had pushed the index to its highest reading in a year. The pullback signals that the surge in confidence reported a month ago was narrower than it appeared, driven largely by a temporary improvement in hiring sentiment rather than broad-based momentum across the ten components that make up the index. Key Takeaways The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index declined to 98.7 in August from 99.8 in July, missing the consensus estimate of 99.3; the index remains above its 52-year average of 98.0. The Uncertainty Index fell 2 points to 89 but remains well above its historical average of 68, reflecting sustained ambiguity around trade policy, inflation, and business expansion timing. NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg identified weakened sales, supply chain disruptions, and persistent inflation as the primary headwinds facing small business owners in August. The Employment Index edged down 0.3 points to 101.8 from 102.1 in July; July had seen a seasonally adjusted 36% of owners report unfilled job openings, up 4 points from June and the highest reading since June 2025.













































