
Fed Minutes Show All 19 Officials Backed September Rate Hike, With Most Expecting Another Increase Before Year End
Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s September 15–16 meeting, released October 7, show all 19 policymakers supported raising the federal funds rate a quarter point to 3.75%–4%. Most participants said another increase would likely be appropriate by year end, but officials did not describe the hike as the start of a rapid tightening cycle. Key Takeaways All 19 FOMC participants, including the seven non-voting officials, supported the September hike to 3.75%–4%, the Fed’s first increase since 2023. September projections showed 12 participants favoring one more quarter-point hike in 2026, four favoring two more and two favoring no further increase. Fed staff estimated August PCE inflation at 3.8% year over year, with core PCE at 3.4%. September payrolls rose by just 29,000 jobs after the meeting, and unemployment edged up to 4.2% from 4.1%. The remaining 2026 rate decisions are scheduled for October 28 and December 9. Federal Reserve Minutes Confirm a Unanimous Committee The Federal Reserve’s September minutes add a detail the policy statement could not show: the decision to tighten had full support. The Federal Open Market Committee voted 12-0 on September 16, and the minutes show every participant, voters and non-voters alike, backed the increase. That unity is a













































