
U.S. Retail Sales Surge 1.2% in August, Nearly Double Economists’ Expectations
U.S. retail and food services sales rose 1.2% in August to $773.9 billion, reversing July’s revised 0.5% decline and nearly doubling the 0.7% gain economists had anticipated, according to the Commerce Department’s Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey released September 16, 2026. The rebound was broad-based, with strength across online retail, restaurants, furniture, and clothing, and it held up even after stripping out higher gasoline prices. The control group, the subset of retail categories that feeds directly into GDP calculations, rose 1.4%, well above the 0.5% consensus, signaling that the consumer spending engine behind roughly two-thirds of U.S. economic output remains intact heading into the fourth quarter. Key Takeaways U.S. retail and food services sales rose 1.2% month-over-month in August to $773.9 billion, per the U.S. Census Bureau. Economists surveyed by FactSet had expected a 0.7% gain. July’s decline was revised to 0.5% from the previously reported 0.6%. Year-over-year, total retail sales were up 6.0% compared to August 2025. The three-month June-through-August period was also up 6.0% versus the same stretch a year ago. Excluding gas stations, retail sales rose 1.1%. The control group, which excludes autos, gas, building materials, and food services, rose 1.4%, nearly three times the 0.5% consensus













































