
July Retail Sales Drop 0.6% in Largest Monthly Decline Since May 2025 as Consumer Momentum Stalls
U.S. retail and food services sales fell 0.6% in July to $763.6 billion, the steepest monthly decline since May 2025, as the spending tailwinds that carried the consumer economy through the first half of 2026, including government tax refunds, early promotional events, and FIFA World Cup foot traffic, faded simultaneously and left a gap that no single category filled. Key Takeaways Total seasonally adjusted retail and food services sales came in at $763.6 billion in July, down 0.6% from a revised $768.1 billion in June, according to the U.S. Census Bureau’s advance estimate released August 14. The decline was the largest month-over-month drop since May 2025 and missed the consensus estimate of a small increase by a wide margin. Online and nonstore retailers posted the sharpest category decline at 2.2%, followed by motor vehicle and parts dealers at 1.8% and gasoline stations at 0.9%. The control group, which excludes food services, autos, building materials, and gas stations and feeds directly into GDP calculations, fell 0.4% against an expected gain of 0.4%. Despite the monthly decline, retail sales were still up 5.0% compared with July 2025, and the three-month May-through-July period ran 6.3% above the same stretch a year ago. The













































