
U.S. Business Applications Fall 6%, but Startup Outlook Differs
U.S. business applications declined 6.0% to 501,609 in October 2026, down from a revised 533,637 in September, the Census Bureau reported November 12. However, projected employer formations fell just 1.8%, highlighting an important distinction between applications submitted to start businesses and companies expected to begin operating with employees. Key Takeaways Total business applications declined by 32,028 from September’s revised figure. High-propensity business applications fell 2.0% to 144,314. The Census Bureau projected 27,867 employer formations within four quarters from October’s application cohort, down 1.8%. Retail trade applications declined 22.0% to 89,511, compared with 114,819 in September. Applications indicating planned wages decreased 4.5% to 34,131. Corporate business applications increased 0.4% to 41,137 despite the overall monthly decline. Business Applications Are Not the Same as Operating Businesses The U.S. Census Bureau’s Business Formation Statistics track qualifying applications for Employer Identification Numbers, or EINs, submitted primarily for business purposes. These applications provide an early indication of potential entrepreneurial activity, but they do not establish whether a business has opened, begun generating revenue or hired employees. An applicant may obtain an EIN while preparing to launch an enterprise, organizing business activities or completing administrative requirements. Some applications eventually lead to operating businesses, while others never













































